The US may be forced to restructure Treasury debt by extending maturities and reducing coupons, as discussed in a white paper circulated in Q4 2024, which would be catastrophic for the long-term Treasury bond market and potentially prevent lending to the US for generations.

forecastpending

Speaker

Jeff Gundlach

Evidence Quote

there was a white paper uh discussing that, talking about doing it to foreigners that hold US Treasury debt. This is back in in the fourth quarter of 2024. And I don't even know if that's it's possible to do that, because I'm not I think foreigners can hide behind other entities. I think it's hard to know exactly who's a foreign holder. But it it just suggested literally that, extending the maturity and dropping the coupon. And obviously, that would be a disaster for the long-term Treasury bond market. I mean, but maybe that's the solution. Maybe maybe when these bonds drop 50, 60, 70 points overnight because of the restructuring, maybe no one will lend us money anymore.

Source

Jeffrey Gundlach and Felix Zulauf: The Second Inning of a Major ShiftDoubleLine Capital
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:25:56 PM

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