Jeremy Grantham, despite being celebrated for forecasting the 2000 and 2008 crashes, warned in 2013 that the market was 75% overvalued and predicted the S&P would lose almost 1% annually for the next 7 years, but it actually gained almost 11% annually—an error of 12 percentage points—yet he remained influential.

factualpending

Speaker

Larry Swedroe

Evidence Quote

grantham's GMO predicted over the seven years uh beginning in 2013 the S&P would earn uh sorry would lose almost 1% a year it actually gained almost 11 so it was only off by 12 percentage points

Source

Investors Made These 9 Costly Mistakes in 2024 | Larry Swedroe Explains How to Fix ThemExcess Returns
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:39:47 AM

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