causal
Bottleneck Objection And Partial Automation Rebuttal
The single best objection to the most important century is that one non-automatable step could bottleneck everything and prevent explosive growth; but you don't need to automate the whole economy—automating just key tech like AI itself and energy (which are less bottlenecked, e.g. robot-built AI chips and self-improving solar) could drive the growth loop, and a massive population of human-level AI thinkers could find ways around remaining bottlenecks such as simulating experiments.
causalpending
Speaker
Holden KarnofskyEvidence Quote
“a lot of the crucial pieces here just actually don't seem all that likely to be bottlenecked. You can be at the point where you have something that has the ability to have creative new scientific hypotheses the way a human does”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:35:22 AM
My Notes
Loading notes...