The Popper-Miller theorem (Nature, 1983) argues that the probabilistic support a piece of evidence confers on a theory cannot be understood as the evidence conferring inductive support, because by splitting a theory relative to the evidence into a deductive part and an inductive part, the evidence always decreases the probability of the inductive part.

factualpending

Speaker

Matjaž Leonardis

Evidence Quote

they showed that um the evidence always decreases the probability of this inductive part

Source

Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity and ProbabilityDwarkesh Patel
Created: 6/13/2026, 7:01:37 PM

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