Compute requirements for frontier AI training have been growing but may plateau around 2030-2035, at which point either AGI arrives or development significantly slows, creating a natural decision point for timelines.
factualpending
Speaker
Sarah Hastings WoodhouseEvidence Quote
“I've heard people use the phrase like 2030 or bust...if we don't get AGI by 2030, then maybe the timelines are longer”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:16:09 AM
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