Japan's population peaked in its working age around 2002-2003 and absolute population peaked around 2010, while China is about 10 years behind on both metrics but with sharper declines, suggesting China will lose 50-60 million people (3-4% of its population) over the next decade.

forecastpending

Speaker

Logan Wright

Evidence Quote

China's about 10 years behind in those metrics but the decline is sharper um in China on both metrics... our own analysis suggests that China will lose something around 50 to 60 million people you know 3 to 4% of its population over the next decade.

Source

The cause and effects of China’s slow-motion crashReuters
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:32:13 PM

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