RAND distinguishes between realistic and speculative concerns about AGI autonomy by relying on technical analysis and historical patterns of technological development that can be reasoned about in advance, not by waiting for technologies to fully emerge before analyzing them.

normativepending

Speaker

Jeff Alstott

Evidence Quote

So there's lots of tech future out there that can be reasoned about in advance, and we, in fact, need to reason about it in advance because it's coming at us sort of whether we reason about it or not.

Source

Artificial General Intelligence's Five Hard National Security ProblemsThe Berkman Klein Center for Internet & Society
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:41:23 AM

My Notes

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