A moratorium on state AI laws passed the House but has only approximately 10% probability of passing through the Senate via budget reconciliation due to Byrd Rule constraints, according to Metaculus forecasts.
factualpending
Speaker
Jeff AlstottEvidence Quote
“in order for it to get through the senate through budget reconciliation, it would have to get through the Byrd Rule. I think Metaculus is currently putting 10% probability of that passing”
Source
Artificial General Intelligence's Five Hard National Security Problems— The Berkman Klein Center for Internet & SocietyCreated: 8/11/2026, 7:41:23 AM
My Notes
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