Small numbers of talented people working on neglected problems where others lack better ideas can achieve 30-50% of what they want and have enormous impact; this is Cowen's model for how progress studies can succeed through dispersed efforts rather than centralized movement.

causalpending

Speaker

Tyler Cowen

Evidence Quote

some modestly small number of people with some Talent will work on it and get like a third to half of what they want and that will have a huge impact

Source

Tyler Cowen in Discussion With Dwarkesh PatelRoots of Progress Institute
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:25:58 AM

My Notes

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