causal

Risk Models Get Gamed Under Incentives

A risk measure like Value at Risk may be fine when used passively to observe someone's risk, but becomes far more problematic once it is set as the benchmark for someone who has an incentive to take risk, because very smart agents in industries like finance will game the measure.

causalpending

Speaker

Paul Pfleiderer

Evidence Quote

it's especially problematic when there's an incentive on the other side to game the system.

Source

Paul Pfleiderer on the Misuse of Economic ModelsEconTalk
Created: 6/13/2026, 12:27:00 AM

My Notes

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