forecast
GPT-4 Will Look Bad From Future Vantage
Progress is on an exponential curve, so just as GPT-3 now looks 'unimaginably horrible' compared to GPT-4, the delta from GPT-4 to GPT-5 will be similar to the delta from 3 to 4, and it is the team's job to live a few years in the future and remember today's tools will look bad in retrospect, which is how they ensure the future is better.
forecastpending
Speaker
Sam AltmanEvidence Quote
“I expect that the delta between 5 and 4 will be the same as between 4 and 3 and I think it is our job to live a few years in the future and remember that the tools we have now are going to kind of suck looking backwards at them”
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:36:04 AM
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