Technological revolutions follow a U-shaped multifactor-productivity curve: when a general-purpose technology arrives, productivity rises in a few niches but the rest of the economy 'dies one cut at a time,' so aggregate productivity falls; only after businesses and society adjust does productivity eventually mushroom across the economy.

causalpending

Speaker

Victor Schvitz

Evidence Quote

in almost every technology I I looked at you have this U-shaped curve.

Source

Viktor Shvets The Twilight before the stormLoM
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:57:46 PM

My Notes

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