In a normal distribution game (100 coin flips, $1 win per heads), the expected value is $50 and the distribution of outcomes clusters predictably around that mean, so a player should pay less than $50 to play and can expect to profit if playing hundreds of times because small variations cancel out.
factualpending
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Derek MullerEvidence Quote
“Expected payout of $50... if you play the game hundreds of times, the small variations either side of the average will cancel out and you can expect to turn a profit.”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:21:07 AM
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