The correlation between crude oil prices and 5-year bond yields is currently over 50%, the highest it has been except for a brief moment in March 2020 when oil was trading negative and bond yields were plummeting, indicating oil is the primary driver of near-term bond price action rather than inflation or economic factors.

factualpending

Speaker

Michael Lebowitz

Evidence Quote

Right now it's over 50%. That's the highest it's been except for a very brief moment during March of 2020

Source

What Bonds, Oil & Gold Are Telling Us | Michael LebowitzAdam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:23:20 PM

My Notes

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