Industrial stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 12 months despite ISM being below 50, demonstrating that ISM is not a reliable equity market predictor and consensus reliance on it for recession forecasting was misplaced.

factualpending

Speaker

Neil Dutta

Evidence Quote

I mean we know that industrial stocks have generally been up performing over the last 12 months and that's been during a time where the ism has been below 50

Source

Why The 2023 Recession Never Happened | Neil DuttaForward Guidance
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:02:32 PM

My Notes

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