forecast
Wild Frontier Is Smith's Most Likely Scenario
Smith personally ranks the Wild Frontier as the single most likely scenario as of today because current trends show AI deployment is enormously useful, there is strong global hunger for both open and closed models, and competing AI companies consistently stay near each other—suggesting a multipolar, widely proliferating landscape rather than tight state control.
forecastpending
Speaker
Gregory SmithEvidence Quote
“i personally think the wild frontier is the scenario that i would rank as the one that i think as of today is the one that i would sort of think is the most likely”
Source
Rise And Fall Of Nations How Superintelligence Will Transform Geopolitics Gregory Smith— UnknownCreated: 6/14/2026, 2:27:22 AM
My Notes
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