Chat GPT-3 was not particularly interesting, and the transformative moment came with GPT-4; the scaling effect crossed a threshold less than two years ago with the general availability of GPT-4, so AI disruption is very recent.

factualpending

Speaker

Rufus Griscom

Evidence Quote

chat gpt3 was not that interesting I mean it was interesting enough that a few people that open the eye felt the scaling effect would cross a threshold...we only crossed that threshold less than two years ago uh a year and a half in terms of General availability

Source

Bill Gates Reveals Superhuman AI PredictionThe Next Big Idea Podcast
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:21:59 PM

My Notes

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