In the St. Petersburg paradox game (coin flips doubling payout each flip, game ends on heads), the theoretical expected value is infinite because increasingly rare outcomes have payouts large enough that their expected contribution remains $1, creating a power-law distribution where probability of payout X equals 1/X (negative exponent of 1).

factualpending

Speaker

Derek Muller

Evidence Quote

The total expected value of this game is infinite... the probability of a payout x is equal to x to the power of negative one or one over x.

Source

You've (Likely) Been Playing The Game Of Life WrongVeritasium
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:21:07 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...