Between great powers, there are four policy options: hot war (undesirable due to catastrophic casualties), capitulation/appeasement (self-defeating because it delays hot war under worse conditions), Pygmalion transformation (attempting to change the other side's system, generally fails and produces hostile leaders like Putin or Xi), leaving only cold war/managed competition as viable.

normativepending

Speaker

Stephen Kotkin

Evidence Quote

Between great powers, Dan, there are four policy options...There are four options. One of them is hot war...capitulation...Pygmalion...What's left, then?...There is no alternative better than cold war between major powers.

Source

Stephen Kotkin: Russia’s Murky Future | Foreign Affairs InterviewForeign Affairs
Created: 8/12/2026, 10:22:55 PM

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