Steve Eisman (from 'The Big Short') has stated that in the investment business, 'if you're early, you're wrong,' and has been early by 1-2 years on various predictions but 'never been 40 years early,' implying that if doomsayers have been predicting a crisis for 40 years without it occurring, the repetition itself becomes prima facie evidence they are wrong.

factualpending

Speaker

Unidentified Speaker — Asset Bubble Crescendo Until 2027 Collapse When U.S. Treasu… [xABqbKt5-I4]

Evidence Quote

He said, 'People in the investment business say, if you're early, you're wrong. I've been early by a year, I've been 2 years early. I've never been 40 years early.'

Source

Asset Bubble Crescendo Until 2027 Collapse When U.S. Treasury Market Implodes, Argues Mel MattisonForward Guidance
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:43:41 PM

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