Hayek's observation that the worst people rise to the top under autocracy is one factor but not the full explanation; autocracies with family-based Gulf monarchies (UAE, etc.) have proven more stable and meritocratic than Cowen would have predicted, suggesting culture and specific institutional structures matter more than the general autocracy/democracy distinction.

causalpending

Speaker

Tyler Cowen

Evidence Quote

there are quite a few autocracies in the world today where the worst people have not risen to the top UAE would be I think the most obvious example

Source

Tyler Cowen in Discussion With Dwarkesh PatelRoots of Progress Institute
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:24:56 AM

My Notes

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