Computational power has followed an exponential growth curve for 80 years (from 1939 to 2023), with each level on the chart representing 10x improvement; Kurzweil tracked this trend for 40 years and found it represents a smooth, predictable exponential curve uninterrupted by major world events like World War II or economic depressions.
factualpending
Speaker
Ray KurzweilEvidence Quote
“this is my uh graph of the the most powerful computers in the world uh it's reached this turning point because of the exponential growth of computation”
Source
Ray Kurzweil: Does AI Make Immortality Possible?— Center for Natural and Artificial IntelligenceCreated: 8/12/2026, 6:24:21 PM
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