In social science, the metric correlation is widely misunderstood; a correlation of 0.5 is not halfway between zero and one because the effect size non-linearly scales with payoff; further, correlation is sub-additive in absolute terms, meaning you cannot sum correlations across subsamples to get the population correlation.

factualpending

Speaker

Nassim Taleb

Evidence Quote

“they can't explain their own results”

Source

Nassim Taleb — Meditations on Extremistan— Joseph Noel Walker
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:35:40 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...