SMIC (China's TSMC equivalent) currently has manufacturing capacity for 50,000 wafers per month at 7 nanometers, but to date has only demonstrated 7nm production for smartphone chips, which are smaller and easier to manufacture with better yields than large AI chips, yet based on smartphone-to-GPU production timelines (iPhones reached 5nm in 2020 while Nvidia's first 5nm GPU was the H100 in 2022-23), SMIC will likely be able to produce large 7nm AI chips in high volumes this year.

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Unidentified Speaker — The Geopolitics of AI Infrastructure - Dylan Patel, SemiAna… [Zz4QjZsYWK0]

Evidence Quote

they're going to get to the point where they can start making seven nanometer for AI chips likely in very high volumes this year.

Source

The Geopolitics of AI Infrastructure - Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysisAI Engineer
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:27:15 AM

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