Another scenario is an anti-regime technocratic US-backed government takeover, which could trigger an insurgency by former regime elements—the Iraq problem where Ba'athists kicked out then mounting insurgency against the new government.
forecastpending
Speaker
Rory StewartEvidence Quote
“anti-regime government takeover...technocratic US-backed government takeover...the former regime elements...starting their own insurgency. That's the Iraq problem...The Ba'athists are kicked out...the former Saddam loyalists mounting a tiny insurgency against the government.”
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:21:24 PM
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