The war in Ukraine is simultaneously a business and social mobility opportunity in Russia: at the elite level, Western companies leaving Russia hand their assets to Russian oligarchs for free, enriching the elite through self-dealing; at the lower end, the state recruits 30,000 soldiers monthly (350,000 annually without mobilization) by offering 7-9 times median wage, with $90,000 equivalent in rubles paid to families of those killed—a compelling incentive in impoverished Russian provinces.

factualpending

Speaker

Stephen Kotkin

Evidence Quote

This war It's big business for Russia...a Western company leaves Russia and the business is handed over to a Russian who gets all of these assets for free...They're recruiting 30,000 cannon fodder soldiers a month...because it's just so much better opportunity for those people in the Russian provinces.

Source

Stephen Kotkin: Russia’s Murky Future | Foreign Affairs InterviewForeign Affairs
Created: 8/12/2026, 10:22:55 PM

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