causal

Lab leaks change the Bayesian prior on pandemic origins

The fact that gain-of-function research was being conducted on this scale changes the Bayesian prior of those who argue past pandemics weren't caused by lab leaks; SARS escaped from labs about seven times in 2003-04, and previous pandemics did not happen in the era when such enhancement experiments were occurring.

causalpending

Speaker

Matt Ridley

Evidence Quote

previous pandemics didn't happen in the era when these kind of experiments were going on

Source

311 - Did Sars-cov-2 Escape From A LabMaking Sense with Sam Harris
Created: 6/14/2026, 2:00:47 AM

My Notes

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