Japan has a major debt problem, but most is held domestically; however, the primary risk for Japan is geopolitical (squeezed between China economically and US for security) and demographic (aging, declining population), which creates an impossible trade-off between satisfying China and the US.

causalpending

Speaker

Felix Zulauf

Evidence Quote

The problem that I see for Japan is they have the demographics are are quite negative and go further negative and they are uh geopolitically, they are in a sandwich between uh China that is very important for their economy and uh the US, which is very important for their safety. You know, they are in between and I think they could please both by letting the yen rise, but for that they have to intervene.

Source

Jeffrey Gundlach and Felix Zulauf: The Second Inning of a Major ShiftDoubleLine Capital
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:25:56 PM

My Notes

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