When a linear regression model and a group of people make divergent predictions about something, it is often valuable to investigate the discrepancy by talking to the people to understand what variables they are using that the linear model omitted, rather than simply averaging the two predictions or trusting one over the other.

normativepending

Speaker

Scott Page

Evidence Quote

if they're far apart if the linear model and the humans are giving very new predictions then you want to go talk to them... what variables are the people using that the linear models not [18:11]

Source

Mental Models for complexity | Scott Page and Shane Parrish | The Knowledge Project #55The Knowledge Project Podcast
Created: 8/10/2026, 11:30:19 PM

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