The American-led international order had three territorial vulnerabilities that were deliberately positioned but not protected: Crimea/Ukraine, Israel/Middle East, and Taiwan/South China Sea; these are borders of defeat for Russia, Iran, and China (territories they lost or claim), making them inherently revanchist pressure points.

factualpending

Speaker

Stephen Kotkin

Evidence Quote

The American led international order Was vulnerable in three places territorially...Crimea, Ukraine, Israel, South China Sea, Taiwan...Those borders are Russia used to have that and doesn't have it anymore...'That's unfinished business for them.

Source

Stephen Kotkin: Russia’s Murky Future | Foreign Affairs InterviewForeign Affairs
Created: 8/12/2026, 10:22:55 PM

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