The current situation does not represent a 'nothing burger' for markets but rather an 'either fire or ice' scenario where distributions are bimodal (either significantly higher or significantly lower) rather than normally distributed around a stable mean, making average-return arguments misleading to investors.
factualpending
Speaker
Adam TaggartEvidence Quote
“One hand in a boiling pot of water and one hand in a freezing pot of water, on average it's room temperature, but my hands are experiencing very different situations.”
Source
Oil To Collapse To $30/Barrel After Iran War Ends? | Doomberg— Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®Created: 8/12/2026, 6:44:02 PM
My Notes
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