definition

Two Axes Generate Eight Scenarios

The eight scenarios were structured along two axes the interviews identified as decisive: whether one actor or multiple actors reach AGI first, and whether AGI empowers the holder relative to its adversaries (with a competitor's empowerment implying relative US disempowerment).

definitionpending

Speaker

Gregory Smith

Evidence Quote

there were sort of these two axes in the paper sort of the one was sort of like is there one person who gets to agi or are there multiple

Source

Rise And Fall Of Nations How Superintelligence Will Transform Geopolitics Gregory SmithUnknown
Created: 6/14/2026, 2:27:22 AM

My Notes

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