In mature businesses with stable headcount and known cost structures, forecast accuracy is critical (missing by 50% would cause job loss), but in startups with volatile growth and multiple unknowns, the standard of accuracy is lower because the baseline is already uncertain
factualpending
Speaker
Paul BarnhurstEvidence Quote
“you have to be directionally correct if you're 50% off all the time especially headcount or things that in a mature business that aren't really changing you're going to lose your job there's there there's a threshold you have to meet”
Created: 8/13/2026, 9:52:46 AM
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