factual
Optimists underestimate time to AGI
Optimistic people working on a technology tend to underestimate the time it takes to get there, which is why Sutskever grounds his own AGI timeline estimates against concrete analogies rather than trusting his optimism.
factualpending
Speaker
Ilya SutskeverEvidence Quote
“optimistic people who are working on the technology tend to underestimate the time it takes to get there.”
Source
Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence— Dwarkesh Patel PodcastCreated: 6/13/2026, 3:26:51 AM
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