Sub-Saharan Africa currently has an average birth rate over 4, down from 5 a couple decades ago and 6 a couple decades before that, with fertility expected to continue declining as female education increases (consistent with pattern in India and Kenya).

forecastpending

Speaker

Dean Spears

Evidence Quote

subsaharan Africa... on average a little bit more than four right now. Um but you know that's down from five a couple decades ago and six a couple decades before that.

Source

Population Decline Is Worse Than You Think | Prof. Dean SpearsWin-Win with Liv Boeree
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:31:13 AM

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