These capabilities convinced me that AI will get more intelligent than humans much sooner than I previously believed. I used to think it was 50-100 years or 30-50 years (I said different things at different times), but now I believe it's five to twenty years—it's going to happen fairly soon.

forecastpending

Speaker

Geoffrey Hinton

Evidence Quote

now I believe it's like five to twenty... it's going to happen fairly soon

Source

Geoffrey Hinton - Two Paths to IntelligenceCSER Cambridge
Created: 8/12/2026, 5:56:09 PM

My Notes

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