Once both superpowers possess AGI and are deploying it across their economies and societies, AGI is unlikely to be a spark for war in itself, because you would not go to war merely because the other side has what you also have; major war would more likely arise from some other specific trigger, with AGI making any resulting war more unpleasant.
forecastpending
Speaker
Gregory SmithEvidence Quote
“do you go to war over the other guy having what you have ... once both sides have it, I don't think they necessarily go to war over the fact the other one has it”
Source
A New Cold War, Rise of China and Global Chaos: How AI Will Rewrite Geopolitics | Gregory Smith— Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik PreslCreated: 6/18/2026, 2:32:07 PM
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