forecast

US Demographics Cushioned by Echo Boom

The US is an exception to global demographic collapse because, unlike the rest of the world, American boomers had a large echo generation (the millennials), so the US won't reach a German-style situation until about 2070; the near-term hiccup as boomers die and small Gen X passes through resolves when the older millennials hit their capital-rich 55-65 window in about a decade.

forecastpending

Speaker

Peter Zeihan

Evidence Quote

all we have to do in the united states to get back to a better capital generation moment is wait 12 years until the millennials will be doing it but there aren't a lot of other countries in the world that will ever reach that point france new zealand sweden that's about it

Source

355 - A Falling WorldMaking Sense with Sam Harris
Created: 6/14/2026, 2:20:56 AM

My Notes

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