The 'exorbitant privilege' — the US paying a lower return on its borrowing than it earns on its lending — is not unique to the US but shared by most advanced economies, while developing economies have the reverse; if the US retains this privilege, stabilizing its net liability/GDP ratio requires the goods-and-services deficit to shrink by 2% of GDP (implying a 15-20% real depreciation), but if it loses the privilege the deficit must shrink 3.5% of GDP (implying a 25-30% real depreciation).
causalpending
Speaker
Joseph GagnonEvidence Quote
“if it loses that exorbitant privilege for some of the reasons that were discussed earlier, um then that goods and services deficit has to shrink by 3 and a half% of GDP”
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:57:48 PM
My Notes
Loading notes...