Empty Sky Is Uninformative About AI Doom

The empty night sky does not show that no one exists, only that no civilization with a sufficient head start exists within a corresponding distance; whether superintelligences are easy or hard to align gives almost no information about the Fermi paradox, because both aligned (solar-panel-building, visible in infrared) and unaligned (star-eating) civilizations would be detectable, so we are statistically simply early, with probes possibly a billion light-years away.