Approximately one year ago (around early 2024), Jeff noticed a tone shift at a private credit conference panel that resembled pre-2008 language: discussion of tensions between firms, need to extend runway, and admission that they cannot liquidate positions—indicating hidden stress in private credit.

factualpending

Speaker

Jeff Gundlach

Evidence Quote

I really uh first started thinking that something was changing 1 year ago, just about exactly 1 year ago, when I was speaking on a at a conference here in Los Angeles. And before my fireside chat, the group before me was a bunch of private credit people. And they were senior people from the big firms. And I was listening to them and I got this eerie feeling that I'd heard the the the tone change. Sounded a lot like where we were going pre- global financial crisis. Where suddenly everyone was everything looked absolutely fantastic and then all of a sudden you started to hear different language being used on the panels.

Source

Jeffrey Gundlach and Felix Zulauf: The Second Inning of a Major ShiftDoubleLine Capital
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:25:56 PM

My Notes

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