Nuclear weapons would eventually have been discovered even without the Manhattan Project because the knowledge that uranium possesses enormous energy and undergoes radioactivity was already established by 1944, and this knowledge spreads over time.
forecastpending
Speaker
David DeutschEvidence Quote
“by the time we get to 2023 the secret that this is possible would have got out by now”
Source
David Deutsch & Steven Pinker (First Ever Public Dialogue) — AGI, P(Doom), & The Enemies of Progress— Joseph Noel WalkerCreated: 8/12/2026, 10:21:48 PM
My Notes
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