There is a 'reasonably good chance' of a recession, which the speaker characterizes as 'in the neighborhood of 50%' probability
forecastpending
Speaker
Lawrence SummersEvidence Quote
“there's a reasonably good chance that we'll have a recession. In the neighborhood of 50%.”
Source
Tariffs, Decline, and the Promise of AI | A Conversation with Larry Summers and Niall Ferguson— University of Austin (UATX)Created: 8/11/2026, 6:36:04 AM
My Notes
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