Markov built a two-state predictive machine using transition probabilities (e.g., 13% chance vowel-to-vowel, computed by dividing 0.06 by 0.43) and showed that running it produced a ratio converging to 43% vowels and 57% consonants—the exact split he had counted by hand—proving dependent events still follow the law of large numbers.
factualpending
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CasperEvidence Quote
“he showed that it still followed the law of large numbers, which meant that observing convergence in social statistics didn't prove that the underlying decisions were independent”
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:59:31 PM
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