Markov built a two-state predictive machine using transition probabilities (e.g., 13% chance vowel-to-vowel, computed by dividing 0.06 by 0.43) and showed that running it produced a ratio converging to 43% vowels and 57% consonants—the exact split he had counted by hand—proving dependent events still follow the law of large numbers.

factualpending

Speaker

Casper

Evidence Quote

he showed that it still followed the law of large numbers, which meant that observing convergence in social statistics didn't prove that the underlying decisions were independent

Source

The Strange Math That Predicts (Almost) AnythingVeritasium
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:59:31 PM

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