The three-month yield at 4% exceeding the 10-year yield at 4.14% (13 basis point inversion) is an extreme signal that the Fed has overdone rate hikes, but this signal may not apply given inflation remains elevated and hasn't broken below the volatility range that generated 8% CPI.

factualpending

Speaker

Preston Pysh

Evidence Quote

The three month yield is at 4% right now. The 30 year is at 4.1. That is crazy... you're only 13 basis points of the three month exceeding the yield on the 10 year.

Source

BTC101: Macro Overview 4th Quarter 2022 w/ Luke GromenPreston Pysh
Created: 8/11/2026, 1:30:01 AM

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