The best long-term outcome for US-China relations would be a 'transmutation' in how the Chinese Communist Party and ruling class regard themselves and their duty to citizens, similar to the historical transformation that occurred between Britain and France after centuries of warfare—from adversaries to partners—though such an outcome is highly unlikely in the near term.

forecastpending

Speaker

Jim Baker

Evidence Quote

some transmutation of the way the Chinese Communist Party, the Chinese ruling class regards itself...Britain and France...several hundred years of warfare...come to the place they are now...Could I imagine that future? Yes. Is it likely? No.

Source

The Challenge of ChinaThe Aspen Institute
Created: 8/11/2026, 6:35:07 AM

My Notes

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