forecast
Sovereign Debt Crisis Could Birth a Dictator
A pessimistic scenario for losing the open access order: chronic deficit spending and unfunded liabilities create an inevitable conflict between promised benefits and promised bond repayments; the US, being too big to find enough other people's money (unlike Greece), could suffer a sudden sovereign debt crisis amid frayed politics where people no longer see legislators or executives as legitimate, leading to street violence and a public willing to turn to a dictator to resolve it.
forecastpending
Speaker
KlingEvidence Quote
“at that point the people are ready to turn to some kind of dictator to resolve the violence”
Source
Lee Ohanian, Arnold Kling, and John Cochrane on the Future of Freedom, Democracy, and Prosperity— EconTalkCreated: 6/13/2026, 12:29:47 AM
My Notes
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