In a sudden-death succession crisis, conflict among the leadership would probably be bounded rather than chaotic, because—as with Tiananmen—elites who lack their own power base share a strong incentive to preserve the system and prevent any contender from reaching out to public constituencies as Zhao Ziyang did, lest the whole system unravel.

forecastpending

Speaker

John

Evidence Quote

there'll be conflict, but it'll probably be bounded in some ways. This is my would be my guess

Source

Xi's PLA PURGES Explained by Top CIA AnalystChinaTalk
Created: 6/18/2026, 1:57:49 PM

My Notes

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