PE volatility is artificially suppressed in reported NAVs due to illiquidity and mark-to-fantasy accounting, but publicly-listed PE funds on the London Stock Exchange (like Harbourvest funds) reveal that true PE volatility is approximately 24% annualized, driven by discounts to NAV that vary with investor sentiment, making PE roughly as volatile as the Russell 2000 (small-cap) index with a beta of ~1.6.
factualpending
Speaker
Dan RasmussenEvidence Quote
“the market price uh is 24%. And the delta is the discount to NAV... It's about 24% annualized, right? So think of it as a little more in the Russell 2000, right? ... maybe a 1.6 six beta [25:54]”
Created: 8/11/2026, 8:01:35 AM
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