forecast

Open source to overtake closed source models

This year is on track for open-source models to generally overtake closed-source models as the most-used models, and notably it's no longer just Llama — many good open-source models now exist in the field.

forecastpending

Speaker

Mark Zuckerberg

Evidence Quote

In general, the prediction that this would be the year open source generally overtakes closed source as the most used models out there, I think that's generally on track to be true.

Source

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 monthsDwarkesh Patel Podcast
Created: 6/13/2026, 3:33:00 AM

My Notes

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